Unseating Tinubu in 2027: Inside political mathematics of the Obi-Kwankwaso strategy

Political analyst, Donald Okwuosa, said Peter Obi-Rabiu Kwankwaso’s joint ticket projects a ray of hope for Nigerians ahead of the 2027 elections.

Okwuosa said Obi-Kwankwaso would have been preparing for a second term if they had worked together in 2023.

He said Obi and Kwankwaso are two visionary leaders with track records of good governance and integrity.

He said Obi and Kwankwaso’s joint ticket would likely unseat President Bola Ahmed Tinubu if the 2027 election is conducted fairly.

The public affairs analyst stated this during an exclusive chat with Legit Nigeria over the weekend.

“A merger of Obi and Kwankwaso would likely unseat the Jagaban if the presidential election is conducted fairly. They both performed relatively well at the 2023 presidential polls, despite being their first attempt, and being tagged “structureless”.

“I dare to say that with this new alliance between these two political gladiators, the Jagaban should be packing his luggage already to leave Aso Rock come May 29, 2027.” According to Okwuosa, Kwankwaso is still revered in Kano state, while Obi remains the biggest export (politically) from the southeast.

He said Peter Obi had already penetrated the North Central and predicted that he would win the FCT flawlessly in the 2027 election.

Okwuosa said Kwankwaso might become useful in synergizing the northwest to align with the Obi/Kwankwaso movement.

He argued that the Kwankwaso alliance will help to fully penetrate states like Kano, Jigawa, Kaduna, Katsina, Zamfara, Kebbi, and Sokoto.

He predicted a good outcome for the Obi-Kwankwaso alliance in the 2027 presidential election.

“Atiku may hold sway over about 40% votes from the northeast and 30% votes from the northwest. “The Obi/Kwaso alliance is sure to get about 50% votes from the northwest and 30% votes from the northeast.

“The southeast and southsouth are already a win for Obi/Kwankwaso, while votes from the southwest would be divided between Jagaban and Obi/Kwankwaso.

The north central is already Obidient. “From all permutations, if a free and fair presidential election is allowed, Jagaban might not get up to a million votes.”